SISTEM PERAMALAN PENJUALAN MOBIL DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE

Muis, Tia Yulistiani (2017) SISTEM PERAMALAN PENJUALAN MOBIL DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE. S1 thesis, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia.

Abstract

Penjualan mobil GAIKINDO pada periode selanjutnya dapat diketahui dengan menggunakan peramalan penjualan. Metode yang digunakan adalah metode Weighted Moving Average, karena metode tersebut dapat melakukan peramalan tanpa terpengaruh oleh pola data. Dari Hasil pembahasan dan penelitian yang sudah dilakukan dengan menggunakan nilai panjang periode n adalah 4, diperoleh hasil kesalahan peramalan dari tujuh kategori dengan menggunakan metode Weighted Moving Average diperoleh nilai kesalahan MAPE paling kecil sebesar 13% untuk kategori Affordable Energy Saving Cars 4 x 2, sedangkan untuk nilai MAPE paling besar ada pada kategori Double Cabin 4 x 2 / 4 x 4 sebesar 42%. Dengan nilai kesalahan tersebut, penggunaan metode Weighted Moving Average cukup baik digunakan untuk peramalan penjualan mobil pada organisasi GAIKINDO.---------- GAIKINDO car sales in the next period can be known by using sales forecasting. The method used is the Weighted Moving Average method, because the method can make forecasting without being affected by the data pattern. From the results of the discussion and research that has been done by using the length of period n is 4, obtained the results of forecasting errors from seven categories using the method of Weighted Moving Average obtained MAPE error value of at least 13% for the category Affordable Energy Saving Cars 4 x 2, while for the largest MAPE value is in the category of Double Cabin 4 x 2/4 x 4 by 42%. With the value of the error, the use of Weighted Moving Average method is good enough to be used for forecasting car sales at GAIKINDO organization.

	Text title.pdf Download ([error in script])
	Text Table_of_content.pdf Download ([error in script])
	Text Chapter1 (Bab 1).pdf Download ([error in script])
	Text Chapter2 (Bab 2).pdf Restricted to Staf Perpustakaan Download ([error in script])
	Text Chapter3 (Bab 3).pdf Download ([error in script])
	Text Chapter4 (Bab 4).pdf Restricted to Staf Perpustakaan Download ([error in script])
	Text Chapter5 (Bab 5).pdf Download ([error in script])
	Text Bibliography (Daftar Pustaka).pdf Download ([error in script])
	Text Appendix (Lampiran).pdf Restricted to Staf Perpustakaan Download ([error in script])

Item Type:	Thesis (S1)
Additional Information:	S KOM MUI s-2017; Pembimbing: I. Heri Sutarno, II. Eddy Prasetyo Nugroho
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Peramalan, Weighted Moving Average, MAPE
Subjects:	Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
Divisions:	Fakultas Pendidikan Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam > Program Studi Ilmu Komputer
Depositing User:	DAM staf
Date Deposited:	26 Sep 2018 03:10
Last Modified:	26 Sep 2018 03:10
URI:	http://repository.upi.edu/id/eprint/31745

Actions (login required)

View Item