Sulthan Faiz Akbar, - (2022) PENERAPAN KURVA PHILLIPS DI INDONESIA (Pendekatan Jangka Panjang dan Jangka Pendek). S1 thesis, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia.
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Abstract
ABSTRAK Inflasi dan pengangguran merupakan masalah ekonomi makro yang dialami oleh banyak negara di dunia dimana setiap pembuat kebijakan di setiap negara mengingini kedua permasalahan ini dapat diatasi bersama-sama. Namun, Teori Kurva Phillips menyatakan bahwa adanya suatu hubungan timbal-balik antar inflasi dan pengangguran sehingga ketika pembuat kebijakan ekonomi menerapkan suatu kebijakan untuk meningkatkan pendapatan ekonomi, maka kedua permasalahan ini justru memiliki hubungan negatif diantara keduanya dalam jangka pendek. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk meneliti hubungan inflasi dan pengangguran di Indonesia dengan sampel tingkat inflasi dan tingkat pengangguran di Indonesia pada tahun 2006-2020 pada setiap semester nya. Di sisi lain, penelitian ini dilakukan berdasarkan Teori Kurva Phillips yang relevan di berbagai negara tetapi juga teori ini tidak relevan di berbagai negara sehingga menyebabkan ketidakpastian penelitian. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah metode kuantitatif eksplanatori dengan teknik dokumentasi yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik. Teknik analisis data pada penelitian ini menggunakan metode Uji Korelasi Product Moment Pearson, Uji Kausalitas Granger, Uji Kointegrasi, dan Model Regresi Kesalahan (Error Correction Model). Temuan dalam penelitian ini menyatakan bahwa inflasi dan pengangguran di Indonesia periode memiliki hubungan kausalitas positif antar keduanya dimana arah kausalitasnya adalah pengangguran terhadap inflasi dalam jangka panjang dan berdasarkan hasil penelitian ini, maka Teori Kurva Phillips tidak berlaku di Indonesia. ABSTRACT Inflation and unemployment are macroeconomic problems experienced by many countries in the world where every policy maker in every country wants these two problems to be solved together. However, Phillips Curve Theory states that there was a reciprocal relationship between inflation and unemployment so that when economic policy makers implement a policy to increase economic income, these two problems actually have a negative relationship between them in the short-term. This study aimed to examine the relationship between inflation and unemployment in Indonesia with a sample of the inflation rate and unemployment rate in Indonesia in 2006-2020 in each semester. On the other hand, this research was conducted based on the Phillips Curve Theory which is relevant in various countries but also this theory is not relevant in various countries thus causing research uncertainty. The research method used is an explanatory quantitative method with documentation techniques obtained from Central Agency of Statistics (CBS). The data analysis technique in this study used the Pearson Product Moment Correlation Test, Granger Causality Test, Cointegration Test, and Error Correction Model. This study found that inflation and unemployment in Indonesia have a positive causal relationship between the two where the causality direction is unemployment against inflation in the long-term and based on the results of this study, the Phillips Curve Theory does not apply in Indonesia.
| Item Type: | Thesis (S1) |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | ID SINTA Dosen Pembimbing : Kusnendi : 5993243 Ani Pinayani : 5993275 |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Inflasi, Pengangguran, Teori Kurva Phillips. |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions L Education > L Education (General) |
| Divisions: | Fakultas Pendidikan Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Pendidikan Ekonomi |
| Depositing User: | Sulthan Faiz Akbar |
| Date Deposited: | 30 Sep 2022 04:06 |
| Last Modified: | 30 Sep 2022 04:06 |
| URI: | http://repository.upi.edu/id/eprint/83038 |
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