Silmi Nur Fadhilah, - and Eeng Ahman, - and Siti Parhah, - (2025) HUBUNGAN ANTARA PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1992-2023. S1 thesis, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia.
Abstract
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis hubungan jangka panjang dan jangka pendek antara pertumbuhan ekonomi dan pengangguran di Indonesia pada periode 1992-2023 dengan mempertimbangkan adanya efek tunda (lag). Metode penelitian yang digunakan yaitu kuantitatif eksplanatori dengan Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) untuk mengkaji keterkaitan antar variabel secara komprehensif. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa tidak terdapat bukti kointegrasi jangka panjang antara pertumbuhan ekonomi dan pengangguran selama periode penelitian. Di sisi lain, pada jangka pendek, hasil yang didapatkan tidak menunjukkan hubungan yang kuat, sehingga pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia 1992-2023 belum cukup responsif dengan pengangguran. Keadaan ini mengindikasikan bahwa pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia dalam kurun lebih dari tiga dekade masih menghadapi tantangan inklusivitas, pemerataan dan penyerapan kerja. Oleh karena itu, diperlukan kebijakan pertumbuhan ekonomi yang berorientasi pada penciptaan lapangan kerja produktif serta peningkatan kapasitas penyerapan tenaga kerja. Dengan demikian, pertumbuhan ekonomi diharapkan mampu mendorong pembangunan berkelanjutan serta mampu memberikan manfaat yang lebih merata bagi kesejahteraan masyarakat. This study aims to analyze the long-term and short-term relationships between economic growth and unemployment in Indonesia during the period 1992-2023, taking into account the lag effect. The research method used is explanatory quantitative with Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) to comprehensively examine the relationship between variables. The results show that there is no evidence of long-term cointegration between economic growth and unemployment during the study period. On the other hand, in the short term, the results do not show a strong relationship, indicating that economic growth in Indonesia from 1992 to 2023 has not been sufficiently responsive to unemployment. This situation indicates that economic growth in Indonesia over more than three decades still faces challenges of inclusiveness, equity, and employment absorption. Therefore, economic growth policies oriented towards the creation of productive jobs and increasing labor absorption capacity are needed. Thus, economic growth is expected to be able to promote sustainable development and provide more equitable benefits for the welfare of the community.
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| Item Type: | Thesis (S1) |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | https://scholar.google.com/citations?hl=en&user=CM9Zyx0AAAAJ ID Sinta Dosen Pembimbing: Eeng Ahman : 5991829 Siti Parhah : 5993429 |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Pengangguran, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Hukum Okun Unemployment , Economic Growth, Okun’s Law |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor L Education > L Education (General) |
| Divisions: | Fakultas Pendidikan Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Pendidikan Ekonomi |
| Depositing User: | Silmi Nur Fadhilah |
| Date Deposited: | 21 Oct 2025 01:22 |
| Last Modified: | 21 Oct 2025 01:22 |
| URI: | http://repository.upi.edu/id/eprint/143372 |
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